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Wednesday, July 24, 2013

Risks to civilization, humans, and planet Earth

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

An existential risk narrowly refers to any factor threatening the existence of humanity. Existential risks may also broadly refer to any of the various risks that have the potential to destroy, or irreversibly cripple, human civilization; to lead to human extinction; or even to cause the end of Earth.[1] Severe events could cause the extinction of all life on the planet Earth, the destruction of the planet Earth, the annihilation of the solar system, to the annihilation of our galaxy or even the entire universe. Existential risks are distinguished from global catastrophic risks. While global catastrophic risks could severely damage human civilization and even kill the majority of people, existential risks either annihilate humanity or prevent civilization from ever rebuilding. The moral philosopher Nick Bostrom argues that the moral significance of an existential risk would exceed that of a global catastrophic risk by orders of magnitude.[2]
Natural disasters, such as supervolcanoes and asteroids, may pose existential risks if sufficiently powerful, though human-caused events could also threaten the survival of intelligent life on Earth, like catastrophic global warming,[3] nuclear war, or bioterrorism.
Despite the importance of existential risks, it is a difficult subject to study directly since humankind has never been destroyed before; while this does not mean that it will not be in the future, it does make modelling existential risks difficult, due in part to survivorship bias.
While individual threats, such as those posed by nuclear war or climate change, have been intensively studied on their own, very little systematic work in the area of existential risks was done before the beginning of the 21st century.[4] A precise estimate of each individual risk may not be necessary when compiling the aggregate risk to mankind.

Examples of civilizations and societies that have collapsed

By Reversion/Simplification
By Incorporation/Absorption

Places that are believed to represent past "societal collapses"

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